Monday, February 28, 2005

Skin for blood...

i just received this ..

http://hk.geocities.com/blood1213/fur.html (looks like somewhere in china.. cool places, couldn't be south east asia, they speak heavy-slang mandarin..)

the english version wasn't well translated.. let me do it again.


Original description in mandarin:
一段令人傷感震撼的紀錄片段..紀錄下活生生的動物,被人把手腳斬去..再生剝掉全身的皮..用來作皮草,可愛的小皖熊..幾分鐘時間後變了面目全非..滿身鮮紅血淋淋,甚至連面上的皮也沒被放過..可憐的小動物..眼見自己將比處於極刑..但真的不知道自己做錯了甚麼.連動物也流下眼淚,愛穿愛買皮草的人你們到底知道自己在做甚麼嘛?因為你們所謂的時代尖端令無辜的小動物賠上性命,不止單單賠上性命..還要以最痛苦的情況下被了結生命..皖熊不停努力地爬起來..但也不停地跌回地上..直到斷氣..看這片段..不禁令人不經意地流淚..當我發現這片段後,我真的明白為何會有sars等病毒來到世間..就是因為人類不停殘殺可愛的小動物才會出現這些不應出現的病毒..大家有想過嗎..要是被剝皮做皮草的是自己..感覺會如何,闊太明星們身披著血腥的皮草,有想過皮草下有多少亡魂嗎?

Translation:
This video extract will guaranty your tears. It is about animal being tortured, where limbs chopped off with no mercy and then skins being shedded off when they were still alive, to be utilized as leather grass. Such pitiful bear, within just a few minutes they become disfigured, body filled with blood, even the facial skin was being torn off. Pitiful bears, they thought that it is somekind of capital punishment, when they don't know what sinned have they committed to deserve it. Even animal sheds tears, for those who likes to buy leather grass, are you sure you know what you are doing ? These animal suffered and even died because of your so called "era peak", and they not just died like that, but in a painful manner. (just like how Jesus being tortured) If you notice carefully, the bears tried to stand up, struggled to survive again, but they eventually succumbed to reality until death. Through the eyes of such video, I can't hold back my tears, and it made me realized why SARS appeared in this planet. This is because human inhuman acts of killing innocent animal caused the inevitable reactions. Haven't you think harder, what if you are the one being tortured, skin shedded off ... how would you feel, can you sum up courage to live without skin ? Celebrities likes to wear such leather grass, but little did they know that many souls come with it.

and I say to you.. brothers and sisters.. eating cow, goat, chickens, fish and other animals would have the same effect as well. it is just the same.. We all shed tears, just like how jesus did when he was being tortured. His hand trumbled, his whole world collapsed suddenly, not knowing what would happen next, he feared for humanly body..because pain is still pain.

Sunday, February 27, 2005

a little bit abt property market..

I am not into property brokering or etc.. but having read an article somehow boosted my knowledge on this area.

It was an article from Sunday Morning Post (Hong Kong Edition).. where it is titled " New rules force asset shakeout".- Japan

Here are the main points.
1. Beginning April 1, asset-impairment accounting will become mandatory for corporations. According to some analyst, it is the nudge necessary to sort out lingering asset-price deflation.
2. As consequence, many companies have started to dispose of property to lighten their balance sheet, stimulating major foreign-investor and real-estate investment trust interest in the market.

My understanding is this..
Many corporation refused to declare assets owned in the balance sheet because if they do that, they have to deflat it(if they have to). Thus, this would make it(property) officially cheaper. Because how can you tell a property selling price is justify ? has to be some documents from the owner..How property analyst got information is also via all those published balance sheets.

As consequences, many corporations opted to sell off properties which are not favorable to them, fearing that it might lose more value as years go by. Contradictory, property is not supposed to lose value as long as there is no earthquake happening to that location (the key to property business).. perhaps in Japan it is different, where changes to price are more volatile.

As a result of large properties being shakeout, supply increases and thus depreciation of the market happens. This in turn, attracted foreign funds as well as more actvities for the REIT(real estate investment fund).

The analyst indiectly implying that this move is engineered by government to deliberately bring in more funds to the country as well as improve liquidity.

having career

thesedays not many of us having careers.. because we are working to cover our expenses more than doing thing which we are passionate with...

being in sales for 1 year+ helps me realized that sales job can never be a career. You can't have passion to sell because selling involves give and take as well as strategies planning & rejection, not only that you can't guaranty selling one or few things forever. Sales is really about making money.. In retrospect, selling insurance is a little different because you are actually selling knowledge to people, much more like an educator or facilitator. So being a teacher is a career but money may not seems good.

HOw about computer programmer ? this is a bit tough because writing software is not like painting. which flows alongside feelings. Software writing involves careful planning and proper risks management to avoid time wastage. I guess if you can write any software at any time and thus you can have a career as software writer, otherwise it is much more like a profession.

Being CEO, managers.. that is all profession and not career. Being policemen and fireman ?? well, i would like to think that being Batman is a career, not sure about being security guard.

Sportsman ?? definitely. Same goes to actor, musician, chef, dancer, book writer,journalist..

Therefore, in all, having a career is like being in love. Being a buddhist monk is a career.. you just got to love it everyday.. it rests in your thoughts every moment, whatever you do, you just got to think of it.

One thing for sure, having a career doesn't guaranty finantial success, you might be dead broke. Being a professinal, you need to rest at least during Sunday because you can't pretend all the time that you love doing something which you don't actually like but good at.

Some people never have a career in this lifetime, simply because they don't like doing the same thing all the time or perhaps they are too constrained by hard reality, and have no time to spare for passion pursuit.

Being in direct sales business, could it be a career ? I don't think so, unless you are the founder or you are a great leader. So it is not about direct sales but it is about being a founder of certain idea or leader that would influence many.

Saturday, February 26, 2005

haze in malaysia..

at this odd times, usually Malaysian are only punished with hot steamy weather right from the chinese new year celebration.. but suddenly the haze appeared last few days.. now it was as worst as hell..

if you can see through my eyes.. the whole place looks like Genting Highland.. except that the "grey cloud" which seems like mist, doesn't move at all .. IT IS HAZE dude..

The following picture explains a little..


well, i can't go Bukit Kiara jogging for today.. probably not tomorrow as well.

The only problem is that The Department of Environment (DOE) have yet to confirm the source of the problem.

Wednesday, February 23, 2005

Yahoo! News - Crude Oil Prices Rise Above $50 Mark

Yahoo! News - Crude Oil Prices Rise Above $50 Mark

This is what i understood..
Crude oil prices is basically controlled by two entities.

1.OPEC which consists of 11 countries from the middle east.
2. Commodity

Commodity is essential because those middle man company such as shell, Petronas and etc.. even though having their own oil plant (they called it the upstream business), the production will not be enough for their sales demand. So, everyone will upstream their oil into a big market (commodity) and from there they buy it again at another price.

Commodity future is a different thingy.. that is mainly financial play. Where based on the actual market (commodity), another gameplay are cater for prediction of either go high or go low.

Therefore, commodity is just like the stock market.. the prices is based on demand and supply. Thus, when demand high and supply low, the price goes up and vice versa. The role of OPEC is just to offset that, where since they represented 41% of the total oil production in the world, they can make price goes down when the demand is high by increasing production (supply). Why they do this..? because they have agreed to regulate the oil market.

Thus, the future traded crude oil as $50 per barrel because they think that OPEC would cut production when the demand is high in USA and Europe due to cool spell. This is only the idea of those future traders.. OPEC have two choices over here...

1. Cut production when it is not practical for oil producer to work extra hard without increment of income.
2. lower the price for the benefit of USA and European consumer by maintaining current production rates.

Therefore, the contribution is actually to benefit who more ? For them to choose option 2, they must have political interest in USA and Europe or USA and Europe must have interest in situation corresponded to option 1. In other words, let say Europe have big impact in producing oil. When APEC cut production, the price would increase and the profit margin would benefit Europe. This windfall can be used by Europe to pay as subsidy to its customer for petrol. But how much can Shell do in order to make this a big significant?

What USA is trying to do now is to realize option 2, using political method. By invading Iraq, the USA claimed to create stability in the middle east region and thus gives pressure for APEC to consider USA's goodwill effort. Needless to say, USA refuse to sign Kyoto agreement because they publicly acknowledge that such move would hamper its economy. Thus, a lower crude oil price would definitely help with its economy too.

Monday, February 21, 2005

Fowarded email : True story from Sri Lanka

On 26th Dec '04 early morning several hrs before the catastrophe happened, Honolulu Tsunami Monitoring centre have been trying to call [Wicky] our Meteorological Dept. monitoring centre in Pallekelle and Colombo but failed as the department was closed for Christmas.

They also got in touch with the Presidents' office. However, it was informed that she's out of the island on a private vacation.

Finally they called Prime minister's secretariat, but Prime Minister was out on his morning walk. Thinking at least it's best to keep him vigilant on this, the Honolulu officials left the message with the person who picked up the phone to inform the Prime Minister that there's a Tsunami coming from Indonesia.

On Prime Minister's return, the operator told the Prime Minister about the call, said Tsunami from Indonesia is arriving in 2 hrs. Prime Minister promptly took action to send a delegation to the Katunayake Airport with name boards

"Welcome Mr. T. Sunami - Indonesia".

Wednesday, February 16, 2005

tsunami shortened days.

the recent tsunami earthquake shortened days...

according to the article..

NASA scientists B. F. Chao and Richard Gross calculated it shifted Earth's mean north pole about 1 inch and made the planet slightly less oblate, or flattened at the poles.

"Physically, this is analogous to a spinning skater drawing arms closer to the body, resulting in a faster spin," they wrote in an article in Eos, a publication of the American Geophysical Union.

according to dictionary..
oblate means = Having an equatorial diameter greater than the distance between poles; compressed along or flattened at the poles. We are not talking about magnetic pole but geographic pole.

equatorial means = The imaginary great circle around the earth's surface, equidistant from the poles and perpendicular to the earth's axis of rotation. It divides the earth into the Northern Hemisphere and the Southern Hemisphere.



in other words, it means the earth now is a bit more rounded than usual (oblate)

Monday, February 14, 2005

Feng Shui Business Card

Feng Shui Business Card... this people are definitely what i called the enterpreneur.

it seems that they know everything about your business from your business card.. and they are selling an ebook offering information to their knowledge. To me, it should be quite a good investment for USD48 because you actually get to have more things to talk to people during business meetings and etc.

in fact, one of the biggest mistake (according to them) is to have your name(small font) directly below the company(big big font), this would means that you become the pillar of the company, and thus you need to work very hard to sustain the business. you will be suprised, many people, especially small enterprises.. suffered this problem.



another thing is that, for my case (keke), if your name is same level as the company's name or logo, you will tend to attempt to be the boss. it is bad feng shui for your boss.



the following person must sure be boss..


the following card is the best so far..


The company is supported by 3 pillars (main income come from handphone), and also supported by a fixed location (very stable) and by big guys (Sony, Nokia, Samsung)... very stable company.

well..well.. well... only if you want to believe in this, then perhaps you can consult Feng Shui Business Card.

Sunday, February 13, 2005

chinese new year over again..

i will be heading back to work tomorrow... basically i have been on holiday for around 8 days... and still felt like it was too short..

this chinese new year was pretty ..well, as usual it was really hot (weather) .. i felt like most of the time was wasted..though most of the time is that you are preparing to eat and then prepare for the next meal and then prepare to eat again...

almost everything is related to eating.. my mom is always busy cooking and etc. But anyway, I felt that chinese new year was created for other reason. First of all, people are supposed to reunite and get together to resolve differences.. secondly, married couple are not supposed to spend too much time together.. they should spend time with other people for just few days..

also, i felt that people should really take time off to sort things out.. for instance, parents can find time to heal the wounds of their kids, or to build their confidence and etc.

sadly, most of the time we just eat only. I even travelled more than 60km to kuala selangor just to grab some seafood with family. We didn't talk much and reflect much about the future during that dinner, just eat and come back again.

we should remember this the next chinese new year.. anyway, still 10 days left.

Wednesday, February 09, 2005

For adult only...

1. Food that contains natural mood enhancer?
->Chocolate
2. Food to increase production of sperm, testosterone and vaginal lubrication?
->Whole grain, because they contain zinc.
3. Food that contain chemical which is similiar to male hormone?
->Truffles.
4.Food to increase virility?
->Olyster
5.vegetables was used by the ancient Greeks as an aphrodisiac?
->Asparagus
6.Which food with when consumed with vodka to create an enhanced romantic mood?
->Caviar.
7. Spanish fly(an aprodisiac), can become toxic when used wrongly, is made of ?
->Ground up beetles.
8. How can drinking help with sexual activities ?
-> Release anxiety and release inhibitors.
9. Food release body's own testosterone into the bloodstream ?
-> Green oat (Avena sativa). Some said that Tongkat Ali is even better.
10. Celibate Egyptian priests were forbidden to eat which of the following because they were thought to be such strong aphrodisiacs?
->Onions.
http://quiz.women.com/games/tests/aphrodisiacs.htm

Tuesday, February 08, 2005

Happy Chinese New Year ! 新年快乐

hi..

so another chinese new year...

this year is supposed to be a good year for those with "horse" sign. We are expected to have good health,wealth and etc. So it is good for me.

This is year, just like any other year, the weather is extremely tough. Sometimes you just felt really too heavy to do anything.. and time was just wasted away. Nevertheless, this year is a bit different for me because i figure the following things.

1. If I need to be successful i would need to be get started off by this year.
2. If I ever wanted to get married I would also need to start by this year.

So, this year is pretty pressure year for me, with a lot of expectations from my personal sides.

I would really appreciate to sit in the same place and time next year and to write another blog reporting my achievement by next year chinese new year.

I wish all my friends and reader of this blog a happy and properous chinese new year.

Because the weather is really hot now, i also like to dedicate the following information to you...

click here..

Friday, January 28, 2005

be policeman ..

if you stood by justice, it is not necessary to become a policeman..

seemingly.., if you love someone, it isn't necessary to marry that person.

Wednesday, January 26, 2005

Allah's caught in the picture..

There is a circulation that the satellite caught an image of wording Allah(in Arabic) as formation of the wave...

http://www.oldkopitiam.com/kopitiam/read.php?f=3&i=176858&t=176858


Sunday, January 23, 2005

The passion of christ

I just watched the show the passion of christ.. good show.. the best part is the beating part .. for one thing.. i watched it closely because I have no idea about Jesus until now.. so I was trying to put piece and pieces together..

After the movie, I did a research and was done with some enlightenedment.

According to some sources:
1. Jesus is a messenger of God which himself is god and thus as a man, he succumbed to all temptations (such as sex) and was ignored, unappreciated, unloved and misunderstood even though he is a good man and always love everyone.
Now this is killer..
1a.he loves everyone, man and woman, so he couldn't choose a wife, because he has no bias, he might as well don't marry. So when you marry someone means you loved someone more and thus you would inevitably have to have some bias because you choose to love someone more than other people. In other words, god is not married, otherwise he is bias.
1b. Even though he is good and people still don't like him and eventually killed him. The teaching of this is that people choose their own god and not the real god coz people are bias according to their own temptation. This is quite true as the Roman worship different gods. So Roman are the peak of human civilization 2000 years ago and then came Jesus and then it was destroyed.

2. When he was about to be cruxifixion. He prayed to forgive those who had caused him pain with reason that people don't know what they are doing. This proves that "God forgive you because you are naive to your action"

3. Jesus was cruxified between two other criminals, as a benchmark to let people see the differences. Two other criminal were subjected to "breaking of the legs" before they died, while jesus died just before that. After he uttered "It is fullfilled now!" then he left. This shows that he could have died easily when he chosed to suffered the beatings of man. He chosed to sufferred all the way until he finally pull the plug himself. It is particularly interesting that the movie focuses on the beating part..to show the defiant of human and the strength of god that will always be with you. Had he not went through those suffering, it would not serve the purpose of his existence, to show love on behalf of god as a human. Just like Gandhi said, reiteriate with love than hatred. Jesus show you how it can be done using a human body that is vunerable to all suffering. In movie, some Roman guard believed when Jesus died pre-maturely.

4. The movie ended with temple being destroyed by earthquake. And all those high priest finally believed in Jesus because Jesus mentioned he could destroy all temple and rebuild them in 3 days. It is also interested to note that earthquake are God's doing as lesson to point out that people are heading the wrong direction. In the recent Asian Tsunami crisis, the worst hit area Aceh of Indonesia, had a famous picture.. a mosque left among all debris.

This is a message where those people had ignored the mosque that people are just putting up faces to go the mosque while in fact they are not doing good. Mosque cannot save you from disaster. The mosque is still here while you are gone. You failed to withhold god, or you have failed because you are using god for your own purpose.

Hebrew (Jews) are strong people, they are always being bullied and evetually win. Moses (B.C) was to take on they Egypt empire. Jesus to take one the Roman empire.

I am sorry if any of you find this abusive... this is just my thought. Long live free speech on the Internet.

Earning your keep

Yesterday on the Sun newspaper was presented an article about pay increment and bonuses..

Statistic given:

1. The average salary increment is 6%
2. I.T sector has higher rate of 7.3%
3. Oil and Gas industry
Junior management = 29% higher than the general market
Senior management = 26% higher than the general market
4. F0r 2005, increment is expected at 6.1%
5. For 2005, real estate and customer product sector are expected to have pay rise of 7%
6. IN 2004, 95% of 215 companies surveyed raised the executive staff salary. it was 89% in 2003.
7. In 2004, 96% of 215 companies surveyed raised the non-executive staff salary. it was 87% in 2003.
8. Before 1997, salary increased by average of 9.5%
9. In 2004, contractual and discretionary bonuses for executive was 2.95 months (2.78 months in 2003)
10. In 2004, contractual and discreationary bonues for non exec was 2.82 months (2.38 months in 2003)
11. Last year(2004) average rate for executives increment is 5.9% compared to 6% in 2003.
12. Last year(2004) average rate for non executive increment is 5.3% compared to 5.7% last year.
13. Malaysia economy expected to grow by 7% in 2005.
14. In Malaysia, average of 5.4% - 6.3% for salary increment given out by Malaysian company for 2004, higher than 3% to 5% in 2003.
15. In Singapore 2004, only 3.2% to 3.7% for salary increment given out by companies and in Hong Kong is 1.3% to 2%.
16. In the past, 80% to 90% of remuneration package comprised of fixed salary while the rest is bonus. Now it is 70:30.

customer loyalty

Sometime around last week, I had an accident which I actually ramped two cars from behind. I lost a substantial amount of Ringgit as I am not a rich perosn.

My car was pretty okay, the front bumper was a little wreck and front case was a little dislocated.. The worst damage is done to my car plate.. I sent it for fixing yesterday and got over with RM120 service.. The job was well done by some mechanic who specializes in Volvo services. He told me he is no expert but could do away with some trick. Anyway, the output was okay... One of the question I repeatedly asked him was how good my front bumper now, would it be as strong. ? He gave me a yes and no answer.. Suddenly, I realized that bumper is really to protect your engine and etc..without it, my engine would have been damaged and I would suffer greater lost. But since he gave such good service (probably is only for first timer), I was kind of considering switching my regular service from Cycle & Carriage over here because partly it is nearer to my place.

I still undecided as I couldn't find a good reason to quit Cycle & Carriage apart from its slightly more expensive treatment. But Cycle & Carriage does give a good documented account of the service done to the car and etc.. One of the thing that hold me back is the kind of strategy Cycle & Carriage used to keep customer loyalty. They actually had someone called me up to chit chat with me... via surveying.. She asked me a lot of stupid question ... Now I realized they are trying to create loyalty by making a presence in your mind.. Great Eastern did the same thing.. of course surveying might be helping them to solve some problems, but I dont think that is the main purpose. See, surveying is different from customer service which actually helps customer on real time.. Surveying is more like a marketing channel, which you will be introduced to things which they want you to know ... for instance;

"Our company recently implemented 2 minutes customer service response, how affective you find it ?".. you would probably say "ok". But aim is to let you know that they are doing something to be better customer-oriented.

Another thing I realized.. recently PLUS decided to hike the price.. they created a lot of issues in the newspapers.. Then suddenly the news is as calm as dead sea. I heard that some investigation revealed that PLUS is actually making millions of Ringgit which they claimed otherwise as reason for the hike. Anway, the story is that parliment has ordered a halt on the debate and the hike still go on.

Then yesterday nite, PLUS appear on TV ads.. with theme song "Stand by you" (originated from stand by me).. The ads features PLUS working day and nite to serve its customer. This is brilliant, somehow I was caught there too.. It was able to make you forget about the whole hiking issue, where you see smiling faces proejcted from PLUS and the song they are sing to you.. I am not sure, I am going to see it again.. But it works.

Saturday, January 22, 2005

Ghost Protection in Hotel [Fowarded Email]

OK, here's some believes of the hoteliers:

Every single hotel, there shall be at least a permanent room which should be left vacant at all times. No matter how full the hotel is, they are not to sell that room(s) to any guest. It was said that specialroom was "reserved" for those "special visitors".

So, if you plan to stay in some hotel, always book in advance. Try to avoid walk in. If the receptionist told you there's no more room available, do not insist one anymore or try to bribe them to give you a room. If you do that, most of the time the room you have will be that "special room".

Sometimes those "special visitors" might go to other rooms also, so here's some tips on how to protect yourself:
Before entering your room, always knock on the door first, even you know the room is vacant.
After you enter the room, if you felt very cold suddenly and have "chicken spore", leave the room quietly immediately and go to reception to request to change room. Most of the time the receptionist will understand what's happening.
After you enter the room, immediately switch on all of the lights, and open the curtain to let the sun light in.
Before you go to bed, arrange your shoes so that one of them is upside down. Some say this is representing yin& yang to protect you while you're asleep.
Always leave at least a lamp on while you're sleeping, preferably the toilet's lamp.
If you're staying alone and they have give you a twin bed, do not sleep with the other bed vacant, try to put your things like luggage on the other bed before you sleep.

Have a Nice Day,
Calvin Yeoh

Saturday, January 15, 2005

Future trading...

yesterday, i attended a free seminar on future trading by OSK Future & Securities Bhd. I managed to learn many things as I am new to this area..

The speaker; Mr. John Law gave as an introduction.. "how to make profit in the future market?" and he promptly answered : "based on charts you will get the answer.."

In future tradings.. you can trade in two ways..
1. up (buy down, sell up)
2. down (sell up, buy down)

He then said there are few ways future, which is known as FKLI (Future Kuala Lumpur Index) is based upon, one of them is KLCI (Kuala Lumpur Composite Index), which actually composes of 100 active stocks.

To be able to trade in direct stock market; which is known to them as the cash market (means actual market), you need huge capital, whereas over here there is no need because the fund managers are leveraging on many people to trade as one go in the real market. Therefore, futures' prices is either at premium or discount to the real market.

Who is interested in trading future ?
1. Hedgers - those who seek to minimize risks in their cash positions.
2. Speculators - those who risk capital in return for fast & substantial money.

You need to have a gameplan, and in doing that you need to categorize yourself either as long term or short term which is commonly known as day trader or position trader. Then he went on to say "only long term can make money, if you can risk losing some money, you are out of here!"

To be a good trader, you need to have 2 things:
1. Fundamental concept - economic concept
2. Skills - using tools

The most important thing abt the concept is liquidity.. and thus you need to know who are the main player in the real market.
1. Proprietary
2. Local vendors
3. Domestic retail
4. Oversea retail
5. Domestic institution
6. Foreign institution - This makes up the most percentage.

Then a participant went on and said "this coming months would have good movement due to liquidity coming in..." he cited the reason for being USD re peg to 3.30 - 3.50. (This means that Malaysian ringgit would be slightly stronger against USD, and foreign funds are coming in..)

Mr. John Law then gave us one trading example about buying long.(means buy and hope it go up)
10 Dec - Deposit margin of 5K
13 Dec - buy 1 FKLI Dec at 880.00
14 Dec - Sell 1 FKLI Dec at 900.00 (which means you gain 20 points)
Since 1 point is RM 50, thus you would earn RM 1k
less the commission you would get the actuall income. (commission are negotiable with the broker)

One thing to note that each unit for FKLI comes with short time frame for validity... I think one fo the reason to enforce liquidity... when your contract is expired, you are forced to liquiditize, unlike the stock market, stock owner might not want to sell out the share when it is making losses.

Therefore, coming back to the real market and the leveraging market... since 1 point is RM50, thus the actual cash in the market is actually 900.00 * RM50 = 45 K

One would need a minimum of RM 1750.00 as equity to play.
Smallest unit in FKLI is 0.50.

He then emphasized again "you need to have trading plan, which is capital preservation.." means dont buy everything at one shot.. in other words, dont follow your emotion. dont listen to rumours.

Every day has a 4 months contract ?? -> I am not sure what he meant by this.

How to predict the market?
1. Fundamental analysis.
1a. Macro point of view - Fund managers in the world look at the world as one stock market.
1b. Sentiment driven - people dare not buy at 800.00 (KLCI) but dare to buy at 900.00(KLCI)
1c. Localized support - there is an invisible hand in this market.
1d. Volatility
1e. Liquidity considerations - not just local but international as well.

2. Charts.
2a. Graphical illustration of the real market.
2b. Show trends
2c. History repeats itself.
3. Technical indicators

Tips
1. If line is going up.. then buy, if down then sell
2. Cut lost accordingly.

The key is to indentify either the trend is strong or weak, the graph could be going up but it might not be strong. THus you would need additional point of view to support your decision. For instance, if you notice a climbing curve, then probably you would magnify your analysis into 60 minutes point of view with combinations of "moving averages", if you notice than the higher resolution is showing linear trend (they called it non-trend), then it means the climbing is stable and you can buy.

The speaker then said "you need discipline to maintain this business.." means dont get over excited..

To analyse a moving trend - "moving averages"is a good tool.
To analyse a non-trend - "Oscillator"is a good tool.

The second speaker came in; Mr. Jimmy a.k.a CEO of OSK Futures and Securities.
He said:
1. To predict future direction, it is not abt understanding where the market ? you just need to know whether it is going up or down..
2. How would you mentally size up to take trade ?
2a. Know your objective : Make money
2b. Know how far you can go.

Then he showed us one exmple using a live analysis tools.. I think it is a Java written program ..pretty nice interface..
If at one at particular point, the FKLI is 920.00, you take a parrallel measurement and you find the following:
1. Max : 945.00
2. Min : 915.00

Then you apply the 3 most important analysis:
1. MACD
2. ADX
3. Moving averages - either 3 day line or 9 day line.
Then you decide how much you can lose and go for decision.

Conclusion:
1. Need to have game plan --> Strategy
2. Knowledge + discipline + patience -> Success.
3. Always think "what if?" that is why you need pre-determined strategy to help you out at critical moments.. becoz your thinking is usually slower.

Then he encourages us to subscripe for the analysis tool which is only RM 150 per monthly basis.

Finally, according to my friend Rick Teoh, this game is a zero sum game, where the investment will goes back to nothing.. in order for someone to make money, someone has to lose money. I think that you also need a lot of time and effort to enjoy this game.





Wednesday, January 12, 2005

Disaster coming at 8 Feb 2005!

Extract:
The Tsunami happened in SW countries of China was predicted by the Chinese traditional farmer prediction system accurately. It also tell there is another one in NE countries of China (Japan and Korea) in 2005. Which is being confirmed by the geographical scientist already.

So, don't plan your trip to Korea or Japan in 2005. One more thing, I guess you may heard about the "White Dragon King" in Thailand, right? Michael's friend went to Thailand and visit him before 26 Dec. The White Dragon King asked her to leave Thai immediately as there is a disaster coming. So she left and escape from the disaster. However, he also asked her not to go outside and stay at home in HK on 8 Feb (Year 30th) after 9:00 pm. He said something bad will happen in HK at that period. Inform your families or friends if possible.

Actually in year 2000, certain group in the buddhism society already warned of disaster in 2004 (chinese calender), according to them, the damage would be much bigger ... the recent Tsunami is just really off-track. Anyway, if this article is for real, 8 Feb would be the last day of chinese calender 2004, and things could really get ugly if it hit Hong Kong and Korea (both celebrating chinese new year)...

asia map

Triangle of life - (Taken from the Internet)

This is very interesting.....do find the time to read it, it could save lives.Though long, this article is worth a read. Its high time we startlearning these survival skills as Malaysia should no longer be considered a nation free from natural catastrophe.

My name is Doug Copp. I am the Rescue Chief and Disaster Manager ofthe American Rescue Team International (ARTI), the world's mostexperienced rescue team. The information in this article will savelives in an earthquake.I have crawled inside 875 collapsed buildings, worked with rescueteams from 60 countries, founded rescue teams in several countries,and I am a member of many rescue teams from many countries. I was the United Nations expert in Disaster Mitigation (UNX051 -UNIENET) for two years. I have worked at every major disaster in the world since 1985, exceptfor simultaneous disasters.

In 1996 we made a film which proved my survival methodology to becorrect. The Turkish Federal Government, City of Istanbul, University ofIstanbul,Case Productions and ARTI cooperated to film this practical, scientific test. We collapsed a school and a home with 20 mannequins inside. Ten mannequins did "duck and cover," and ten mannequins I used in my "triangle of life"survival method. After the simulated earthquake collapse we crawled through the rubble and entered the building to film and document the results.

The film, in which I practised my survival techniques underdirectly observable, scientific conditions, relevant to buildingcollapse, showed there would have been zero percent survival forthose doing duck and cover.There would likely have been 100 % survivability for people using mymethod of the "triangle of life."

This film has been seen by millions of viewers on television in Turkey and the rest of Europe, and it was seen in the USA, Canada and Latin American the TV program Real TV.The first building I ever crawled inside of was a school in MexicoCity during the 1985 earthquake.

Every child was under their desk.Every child was crushed to the thickness of their bones. They could havesurvived by lying down next to their desks in the aisles. It was obscene,unnecessary and I wondered why the children were not in the aisles. I didn't at the time know that the children were told to hide under something.Simply stated, when buildings collapse, the weight of the ceilingsfalling upon the objects or furniture inside crushes these objects,leaving a space or void next to them. This space is what I call the"triangle of life".The larger the object, the stronger, the less it will compact. The less the object compacts, the larger the void, the greater the probabilitythat the person who is using this void for safety will not be injured.The next time you watch collapsed buildings, on television, count the"triangles" you see formed. They are everywhere. It is the mostcommon shape, you will see, in a collapsed building. They areeverywhere.

I trained the Fire Department of Trujillo (population 750,000) in how to survive, take care of their families, and to rescue others in earthquakes.The chief of rescue in the Trujillo Fire Department is a professor atTrujillo University. He accompanied me everywhere. He gave personal testimony: "My name is Roberto Rosales. I am Chief of Rescue inTrujillo.When I was 11 years old, I was trapped inside of a collapsed building. My entrapment occurred during the earthquake of 1972 thatkilled 70,000 people. I survived in the "triangle of life" thatexisted next to my brother's motorcycle. My friends who got under the bed and under desks were crushed to death [he gives more details, names, addressesetc.]...I am the living example of the "triangle of life". My dead friends are the example of "duck and cover".

TIPS DOUG COPP PROVIDES:

1) Everyone who simply "ducks and covers" WHEN BUILDINGS COLLAPSE is crushed to death -- Every time, without exception. People who get under objects, like desks or cars, are always crushed.
2) Cats, dogs and babies all naturally often curl up in the foetal position. You should too in an earthquake. It is a natural safety/ survival instinct. You can survive in a smaller void. Get next to an object, next to a sofa,next to a large bulky object that will compress slightly but leave a void next to it.
3) Wooden buildings are the safest type of construction to be in during an earthquake. The reason is simple: the wood is flexible and moves with the force of the earthquake. If the wooden building does collapse, large survival voids are created. Also, the wooden building has less concentrated, crushing weight. Brick buildings will break into individual bricks. Bricks will cause many injuries but less squashed bodies than concrete slabs.
4) If you are in bed during the night and an earthquake occurs, simply roll off the bed. A safe void will exist around the bed. Hotels can achieve a much greater survival rate in earthquakes, simply by posting a sign on the back of the door of every room, telling occupants to lie down on the floor, next to the bottom of the bed during an earthquake.
5) If an earthquake happens while you are watching television and you cannot easily escape by getting out the door or window, then lie down and curl up in the foetal position next to a sofa, or large chair.
6) Everybody who gets under a doorway when buildings collapse is killed. How? If you stand under a doorway and the door jam falls forward or backward you will be crushed by the ceiling above. If the door jam falls sideways you will be cut in half by the doorway. In either case, you will be killed!
7) Never go to the stairs. The stairs have a different "moment of frequency" (they swing separately from the main part of the building). The stairs and remainder of the building continuously bump into each other until structural failure of the stairs takes place. The people who get on stairs before they fail are chopped up by the stair treads. They are horribly mutilated. Even if the building doesn't collapse, stay away from the stairs. The stairs are a likely part of the building to be damaged. Even if the stairs are not collapsed by the earthquake, they may collapse later when overloaded by screaming, fleeing people. They should always be checked for safety, even when the rest of the building is not damaged.
8) Get Near the Outer Walls Of Buildings Or Outside Of Them If Possible It is much better to be near the outside of the building rather than the interior. The farther inside you are from the outside perimeter of the building the greater the probability that your escape route will be blocked.
9) People inside of their vehicles are crushed when the road above falls in an earthquake and crushes their vehicles; which is exactly what happened with the slabs between the decks of the Nimitz Freeway. The victims of the San Francisco earthquake all stayed inside of theirvehicles. They were all killed. They could have easily survived by getting out and sitting or lying next to their vehicles, says the author. Everyone killed would have survived if they had been able to get out of their cars and sit or lie next to them. All the crushed cars had voids3 feet high next to them, except for the cars that had columns falldirectly across them.
10)I discovered, while crawling inside of collapsed newspaper offices and other offices with a lot of paper, that paper does not compact. Large voids are found surrounding stacks of paper. I hope this useful information is never needed.....